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Watch the Webcast Recording of the 11th Edition Knocking at the College Door Release

For many years, demographers have warned that the number of high school graduates would peak then decline, adding new pressure to postsecondary enrollments facing the proverbial “cliff.” As predicted, the United States next year will reach its highest peak ever for high school graduates and then enter a period of slow and steady decline, according to the 11th edition of Knocking at the College Door, which was released December 11, 2024. Read the press release.

Media Mentions

As the Birth Cliff Looms, Loyola Strategizes for the Future

An article from Loyola Today discusses how, despite the decreasing rate of high school graduates, Loyola University’s enrollment has grown 70% across the past 10 years. Data from Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original...

June 26, 2026

The Enrollment Advantage Most Colleges Underuse

An article from Fast Company discusses how AI can enhance enrollment by personalizing assistance with interested college applicants. Data from WICHE’s Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original source.

June 16, 2026

The Last Class of 18-Year-Olds

An article from The EDU Ledger reports on how National University is successfully navigating the decreasing high school graduation rates and how other schools around the country are doing the same. Data from WICHE’s Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High...

June 09, 2026