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Watch the Webcast Recording of the 11th Edition Knocking at the College Door Release

For many years, demographers have warned that the number of high school graduates would peak then decline, adding new pressure to postsecondary enrollments facing the proverbial “cliff.” As predicted, the United States next year will reach its highest peak ever for high school graduates and then enter a period of slow and steady decline, according to the 11th edition of Knocking at the College Door, which was released December 11, 2024. Read the press release.

Media Mentions

Inside the University of Oregon’s plan to save $65 million a year

An article from Higher Ed Dive examines the University of Oregon’s proposed plan to address a projected $65 million budget deficit through staff reductions, academic program cuts and departmental consolidations. The article cites WICHE projections indicating that Oregon’s high...

October 30, 2026

Virginia’s future college student pool is shrinking

An article from Axios Richmond examines Virginia’s declining population of prospective college students and the potential challenges facing the state’s higher education institutions. WICHE projections are cited, indicating that the number of high school graduates nationwide is expected to...

October 30, 2026

An article from The Chronicle of Higher Education examines preliminary fall 2026 enrollment trends during the first year of the anticipated demographic cliff. The article references WICHE research projecting a national decline in the number of high school graduates...

October 29, 2026