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Watch the Webcast Recording of the 11th Edition Knocking at the College Door Release

For many years, demographers have warned that the number of high school graduates would peak then decline, adding new pressure to postsecondary enrollments facing the proverbial “cliff.” As predicted, the United States next year will reach its highest peak ever for high school graduates and then enter a period of slow and steady decline, according to the 11th edition of Knocking at the College Door, which was released December 11, 2024. Read the press release.

Media Mentions

Higher Ed’s Enrollment Cliff Is Here. Now Meet the Graduate Glut.

An article from The Chronicle of Higher Education where WICHE Vice President, Policy Analysis and Research, Patrick Lane, is quoted alongside data from WICHE’s Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates to discuss the impact of graduation...

May 01, 2026

Score a Good Grade on Graduation Celebrations

An article from The Inside Press about hosting the best graduation party. Data from WICHE’s Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View originial source here.

April 29, 2026

Lessons from State Tuition Recovery Funds for Consumer Protection in Higher Education

A report by The American Enterprise Institute discusses cases for expanding state-level tuition recovery funds to the federal level. WICHE’s Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original source here.

April 27, 2026