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Watch the Webcast Recording of the 11th Edition Knocking at the College Door Release

For many years, demographers have warned that the number of high school graduates would peak then decline, adding new pressure to postsecondary enrollments facing the proverbial “cliff.” As predicted, the United States next year will reach its highest peak ever for high school graduates and then enter a period of slow and steady decline, according to the 11th edition of Knocking at the College Door, which was released December 11, 2024. Read the press release.

Media Mentions

As US Small Colleges Close, Towns Can Struggle. In Vermont, One Turned the Page.

An article from The Christian Science Monitor discusses how the town of Plainfield repurposed the now-closed Goddard College campus as a community cultural hub. Data from Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View...

August 11, 2026

The Ever-Changing World of Academic Recruitment

An article from The Baylor Line discusses how academic recruitment strategies at American colleges and universities are shifting in the face of changing social attitudes toward the value of a college degree and a shrinking pool of high school...

August 07, 2026

College Enrollment Cliff: A Survival Plan for Private Schools

This article from Skolbot discusses the decline in high school graduates across the country and how it will affect different institution types. Data from Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original source.

July 31, 2026