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Watch the Webcast Recording of the 11th Edition Knocking at the College Door Release
For many years, demographers have warned that the number of high school graduates would peak then decline, adding new pressure to postsecondary enrollments facing the proverbial “cliff.” As predicted, the United States next year will reach its highest peak ever for high school graduates and then enter a period of slow and steady decline, according to the 11th edition of Knocking at the College Door, which was released December 11, 2024. Read the press release.
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Media Mentions
Featured Media Mention | August 22, 2026
America’s College Enrollment Map is Being Redrawn
An article from Axios summarizes the regional impact of a declining pool of high school graduates on higher education institutions. Data from Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original source.
Preparing for a Smaller Competitive Future in Higher Education
An article from Edtech platform Coltie discusses strategies institutions can utilize to engage and retain students. Data from Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original source.
July 19, 2026
UND, NDUS Tracking Enrollment in the Coming Years as Other States Look at Enrollment Cliff
An article from the Grand Forks Herald discusses how North Dakota institutions are cooperatively developing strategies to manage the falloff of out-of-state learners. Data from Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original source.
July 18, 2026
New Hawai’i Law Creates Panel to Study School Closures
An article from the Honolulu Star Advertiser discusses a new law in Hawai’i that establishes a panel to study school closures in the state. Data from Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original source....
July 18, 2026