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Watch the Webcast Recording of the 11th Edition Knocking at the College Door Release
For many years, demographers have warned that the number of high school graduates would peak then decline, adding new pressure to postsecondary enrollments facing the proverbial “cliff.” As predicted, the United States next year will reach its highest peak ever for high school graduates and then enter a period of slow and steady decline, according to the 11th edition of Knocking at the College Door, which was released December 11, 2024. Read the press release.
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Media Mentions
Featured Media Mention | June 09, 2026
The Last Class of 18-Year-Olds
An article from The EDU Ledger reports on how National University is successfully navigating the decreasing high school graduation rates and how other schools around the country are doing the same. Data from WICHE’s Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High...
18 Years Ago, Coloradans Started Having Fewer Babies. Now It’s a Higher Education Problem.
An article from The Denver Post about how Colorado is expected to see a 12% decline in high school graduates between 2023 and 2041. Data from WICHE’s Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original source....
May 31, 2026
Waiʻanae Grads Go Big, But Hawaiʻi Celebrations Could Soon Shrink
An article from Honolulu Civil Beat about Wai’anae High School’s recent commencement ceremony and the impact a decreasing high school graduation rate will have on Hawai’i in the future. Data from WICHE’s Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School...
May 25, 2026
UT Arlington Revamps Degrees as Texas Universities Face Similar Decisions
An article from Chron about how The University of Texas at Arlington is reorganizing some of its program offerings amidst demographic and economic shifts. Data from WICHE’s Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original source here.
May 21, 2026