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Watch the Webcast Recording of the 11th Edition Knocking at the College Door Release
For many years, demographers have warned that the number of high school graduates would peak then decline, adding new pressure to postsecondary enrollments facing the proverbial “cliff.” As predicted, the United States next year will reach its highest peak ever for high school graduates and then enter a period of slow and steady decline, according to the 11th edition of Knocking at the College Door, which was released December 11, 2024. Read the press release.
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Media Mentions
Featured Media Mention | October 28, 2026
Out-of-state universities are choosin’ Texas. Tarrant-area colleges hope students do, too
An article from Fort Worth Report explores how out-of-state universities are recruiting Texas students and how Tarrant-area institutions are responding to competition. It cites WICHE’s projection of 13% fewer high school graduates nationwide by 2041, while Texas is projected...
Why Sterling College faltered — and how some plan to keep its legacy alive
An article from Higher Ed Dive explores Sterling College’s closure after years of declining enrollment and efforts to preserve its environmental education legacy through a proposed institute. It cites WICHE projections for Vermont’s high school graduate population. View original...
September 22, 2026
Seton Hall navigates enrollment changes amid national decline
An article from The Setonian examines Seton Hall University’s FY2027 budget and its response to national enrollment decline and financial pressure. The article includes commentary from WICHE’s Patrick Lane and references WICHE research on enrollment trends. View original source.
September 17, 2026
CC Underenrolls for Third Straight Year, Acceptance Rate at 15-Year High
An article from The Catalyst reports that Colorado College enrolled 490 first-year students—20 below its target—for the third consecutive year, adding to budget pressure tied to enrollment and financial aid. It also cites WICHE’s projection of a 14% decline...
September 11, 2026