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Watch the Webcast Recording of the 11th Edition Knocking at the College Door Release

For many years, demographers have warned that the number of high school graduates would peak then decline, adding new pressure to postsecondary enrollments facing the proverbial “cliff.” As predicted, the United States next year will reach its highest peak ever for high school graduates and then enter a period of slow and steady decline, according to the 11th edition of Knocking at the College Door, which was released December 11, 2024. Read the press release.

Media Mentions

UND, NDUS Tracking Enrollment in the Coming Years as Other States Look at Enrollment Cliff

An article from the Grand Forks Herald discusses how North Dakota institutions are cooperatively developing strategies to manage the falloff of out-of-state learners. Data from Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original source.

July 18, 2026

What Education’s 250-Year Problem Is Costing Every One of Us

An op-ed from Psychology Today argues the education model needs revamping in the age of AI. Data from Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates is cited. View original source.

June 26, 2026

Cornell College Deems its ‘Save Your Seat’ Initiative a Success

An article from The Gazette discusses Cornell College’s initiative, ‘Save Your Seat,’ where prospective students could guarantee themselves Cornell-funded aid, priority housing, and preferred first-year seminar placement by applying and submitting an enrollment deposit before a September deadline. This strategy...

June 26, 2026