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Watch the Webcast Recording of the 11th Edition Knocking at the College Door Release
For many years, demographers have warned that the number of high school graduates would peak then decline, adding new pressure to postsecondary enrollments facing the proverbial “cliff.” As predicted, the United States next year will reach its highest peak ever for high school graduates and then enter a period of slow and steady decline, according to the 11th edition of Knocking at the College Door, which was released December 11, 2024. Read the press release.
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Media Mentions
Featured Media Mention | November 02, 2026
As courting students gets tougher, colleges vie to make the admissions process friendlier
An article from The Hechinger Report explores how colleges and universities are making their admissions processes more welcoming and accessible as competition for prospective students increases. The article cites WICHE projections that the number of high school graduates nationwide...
North Central College sets enrollment record for third year
An article from the Chicago Tribune reports that North Central College set an enrollment record for the third consecutive year. It also cites WICHE’s projection that the Midwest’s high school graduate population will decline through 2041. View original source.
September 24, 2026
IC addresses recruitment strategy after missing enrollment target
An article from The Ithacan examines Ithaca College’s response to missing its Fall 2026 enrollment target, including plans to adjust recruitment and affordability strategies. WICHE’s Knocking at the College Door projections and comments from WICHE’s Colleen Falkenstern are included...
September 24, 2026
Why Sterling College faltered — and how some plan to keep its legacy alive
An article from Higher Ed Dive explores Sterling College’s closure after years of declining enrollment and efforts to preserve its environmental education legacy through a proposed institute. It cites WICHE projections for Vermont’s high school graduate population. View original...
September 22, 2026